Regular season ·

Buffalo beat Ohio

Ohio1-626
Buffalo3-427Final
Sat, Oct 16 · UB Stadium, Amherst, N.Y. · Crowd 12,909 · 59°, overcastESPN+

Records are after this game.

Buffalo trailed Ohio by 21 points in the 1st quarter and won 27-26, October 16, 2021.

How the game turned

Buffalo aheadOhio aheadBiggest swingLow: 4%
1234

Q4 0:00 Buffalo 27, Ohio 26

Buffalo 100% to win

McNulty 26-yd field goal, Buffalo wins it 27-26

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 10:04 · Buffalo 0, Ohio 7Buffalo's win chance fell from 56% to 53%.Tuggle 6-yd TD run, Ohio goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 7:17 · Buffalo 0, Ohio 14Buffalo's win chance fell from 57% to 37%.Rogers 99-yd TD run, Ohio leads 14-0
  3. 3Q4 8:39 · Buffalo 24, Ohio 26Buffalo's win chance rose from 26% to 38%.Vantrease 8-yd TD pass to Borland, cuts it to 26-24
  4. 4Q4 0:00 · Buffalo 27, Ohio 26Buffalo's win chance rose from 67% to 100%.McNulty 26-yd field goal, Buffalo wins it 27-26

Buffalo's lowest chance to win was 4 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Buffalo's chance to win went from 67 percent to 99 percent when Buffalo kicked a field goal.

The score went from Buffalo 24, Ohio 26 to Buffalo 27, Ohio 26.

The play: McNulty 26-yd field goal, Buffalo wins it 27-26.

What happened next

  1. Buffalo's next game: W 45-10 at Akron, Oct 23

    7 days later

  2. Ohio's next game: L 27-34 vs Kent State, Oct 23

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 16, 2021: Ohio 45, Buffalo 24, Nov 1, 2022

    about 13 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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