Regular season ·

UL Monroe beat Troy

Troy2-216
UL Monroe2-129Final
Sat, Sep 25 · Malone Stadium, Monroe, La. · Crowd 12,766 · 76°, clearESPN+

Records are after this game.

UL Monroe beat Troy by 13 points.

How the game turned

UL Monroe aheadTroy aheadBiggest swingLow: 5%
12345

Q3 11:56 UL Monroe 17, Troy 3

UL Monroe 58% to win

Henry 40-yd TD run, UL Monroe leads 17-3

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 8:03 · UL Monroe 7, Troy 0UL Monroe's win chance rose from 9% to 15%.Rodriguez 23-yd TD pass to Jackson, UL Monroe goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 (no clock) · UL Monroe 7, Troy 0UL Monroe's win chance rose from 14% to 25%.Powell sacked, turnover on downs
  3. 3Q3 11:56 · UL Monroe 17, Troy 3UL Monroe's win chance rose from 24% to 58%.Henry 40-yd TD run, UL Monroe leads 17-3
  4. 4Q3 5:19 · UL Monroe 20, Troy 10UL Monroe's win chance rose from 44% to 56%.Sutherland 32-yd field goal, UL Monroe leads 20-10
  5. 5Q4 9:40 · UL Monroe 29, Troy 10UL Monroe's win chance rose from 76% to 95%.Williams interception return TD, UL Monroe leads 29-10

UL Monroe's lowest chance to win was 5 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 11:56 left in the 3rd quarter, UL Monroe's chance to win went from 24 percent to 58 percent when UL Monroe scored a touchdown.

The score went from UL Monroe 10, Troy 3 to UL Monroe 17, Troy 3.

The play: Henry 40-yd TD run, UL Monroe leads 17-3.

What happened next

  1. UL Monroe's next game: L 6-59 at Coastal Carolina, Oct 2

    7 days later

  2. Troy's next game: L 14-23 at South Carolina, Oct 2

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Sep 25, 2021: Troy 34, UL Monroe 16, Nov 19, 2022

    about 14 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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