Regular season ·

Boise State beat BYU

Boise State3-326
No. 10 BYU5-117Final
Sat, Oct 9 · LaVell Edwards Stadium, Provo, Utah · Crowd 63,470 · 48°, light rainABC

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Boise State beat No. 10 BYU by 9 points.

BYU was No. 10 in the AP poll before the game; Boise State was not ranked.

How the game turned

Boise State aheadBYU aheadBiggest swing
1234

Q2 6:29 Boise State 10, BYU 10

Boise State 54% to win

Habibi-Likio 11-yd TD run, ties it 10-10

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 10:24 · Boise State 0, BYU 3Oldroyd 30-yd field goal, BYU goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 6:29 · Boise State 10, BYU 10Boise State's win chance rose from 32% to 54%.Habibi-Likio 11-yd TD run, ties it 10-10
  3. 3Q2 3:34 · Boise State 17, BYU 10Boise State's win chance rose from 50% to 57%.Van Buren 1-yd TD run, Boise State goes ahead 17-10
  4. 4Q4 7:27 · Boise State 23, BYU 17Boise State's win chance fell from 93% to 80%.Allgeier 1-yd TD run, cuts it to 23-17

Boise State's lowest chance to win was 14 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 6:29 left in the 2nd quarter, Boise State's chance to win went from 32 percent to 54 percent when Boise State scored a touchdown.

The score went from Boise State 3, BYU 10 to Boise State 10, BYU 10.

The play: Habibi-Likio 11-yd TD run, ties it 10-10.

What happened next

  1. BYU went from No. 10 to No. 19 in the next AP poll.

  2. Boise State's next game: L 17-24 vs Air Force, Oct 16

    7 days later

  3. BYU's next game: L 24-38 at Baylor, Oct 16

    7 days later

  4. The teams' next meeting after Oct 9, 2021: BYU 31, Boise State 28, Nov 5, 2022

    about 13 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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