Regular season ·

Nevada beat San José State

San José State5-524
Nevada7-227Final
Sat, Nov 6 · Mackay Stadium, Reno, Nev. · Crowd 17,770 · 43°, overcastFS2

Records are after this game.

Nevada beat San José State by 3 points.

How the game turned

Nevada aheadSan José State aheadLow: 47%

Q1 8:27 Nevada 7, San José State 0

Nevada 85% to win

Henley fumble return TD, Nevada goes ahead 7-0

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 8:27 · Nevada 7, San José State 0Nevada's win chance rose from 72% to 85%.Henley fumble return TD, Nevada goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q3 11:55 · Nevada 14, San José State 7Nevada's win chance rose from 55% to 83%.Robins interception return TD, Nevada goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q4 5:26 · Nevada 24, San José State 17Nevada's win chance rose from 79% to 90%.Strong 20-yd TD pass to Doubs, Nevada goes ahead 24-17
  4. 4Q4 1:47 · Nevada 24, San José State 24Nevada's win chance fell from 86% to 73%.Starkel 2-yd TD pass to Deese, ties it 24-24
  5. 5Q4 0:03 · Nevada 27, San José State 24Nevada's win chance rose from 82% to 99%.Talton 45-yd field goal, Nevada goes ahead 27-24

Nevada's lowest chance to win was 47 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Nevada took the lead for good with 0:03 left in the 4th quarter, Nevada 27, San José State 24.

What happened next

  1. Nevada's next game: L 21-23 at San Diego State, Nov 13

    7 days later
  2. San José State's next game: L 17-48 vs Utah State, Nov 13

    7 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 6, 2021: San José State 35, Nevada 28, Oct 29, 2022

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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