Allstate Sugar Bowl ·
Allstate Sugar Bowl
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 6 Baylor beat No. 8 Ole Miss by 14 points, the Allstate Sugar Bowl.
It was played at a neutral site: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA.
How the game turned
Q4 11:14 Baylor 14, Ole Miss 7
Baylor 84% to win
Baldwin 48-yd TD run, Baylor goes ahead 14-7
Big moments
- 1Q2 10:16 · Baylor 7, Ole Miss 0Baylor's win chance rose from 39% to 64%.Walcott return TD, Baylor goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q3 9:13 · Baylor 7, Ole Miss 7Baylor's win chance fell from 72% to 52%.Altmyer 37-yd TD pass to Sanders, ties it 7-7
- 3Q4 11:14 · Baylor 14, Ole Miss 7Baylor's win chance rose from 48% to 84%.Baldwin 48-yd TD run, Baylor goes ahead 14-7
Baylor's lowest chance to win was 32 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 11:14 left in the 4th quarter, Baylor's chance to win went from 48 percent to 84 percent when Baylor scored a touchdown.
The score went from Baylor 7, Ole Miss 7 to Baylor 14, Ole Miss 7.
The play: Baldwin 48-yd TD run, Baylor goes ahead 14-7.
What happened next
Baylor finished the 2021 season 12-2, No. 6 in the last AP poll before the bowls.
Ole Miss finished the 2021 season 10-3, No. 8 in the last AP poll before the bowls.
Baylor's first game of the 2022 season: W 69-10 vs UAlbany, Sep 3, 2022
about 8 months laterOle Miss's first game of the 2022 season: W 28-10 vs Troy, Sep 3, 2022
about 8 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.