Regular season ·
Mississippi State beat Auburn
Records are after this game.
Mississippi State beat Auburn by 6 points in overtime.
How the game turned
Q4 1:05 Mississippi State 30, Auburn 33
Mississippi State 43% to win
Hunter 8-yd TD run, two-point try good, Auburn goes ahead 33-30
Big moments
- 1Q1 12:26 · Mississippi State 3, Auburn 0Biscardi 28-yd field goal, Mississippi State goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q4 6:36 · Mississippi State 24, Auburn 25Mississippi State's win chance fell from 83% to 58%.Bigsby 41-yd TD run, two-point try fails, Auburn goes ahead 25-24
- 3Q4 3:49 · Mississippi State 30, Auburn 25Mississippi State's win chance rose from 70% to 81%.Rogers 33-yd TD pass to Thomas, two-point try fails, Mississippi State goes ahead 30-25
- 4Q4 1:05 · Mississippi State 30, Auburn 33Mississippi State's win chance fell from 79% to 43%.Hunter 8-yd TD run, two-point try good, Auburn goes ahead 33-30
- 5Q4 0:29 · Mississippi State 33, Auburn 33Mississippi State's win chance rose from 46% to 70%.Biscardi 44-yd field goal, ties it 33-33
Mississippi State's lowest chance to win was 34 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 1:05 left in the 4th quarter, Auburn's chance to win went from 21 percent to 57 percent when Auburn scored a touchdown.
The score went from Mississippi State 30, Auburn 25 to Mississippi State 30, Auburn 33.
The play: Hunter 8-yd TD run, two-point try good, Auburn goes ahead 33-30.
What happened next
Mississippi State's next game: L 19-45 vs Georgia, Nov 12
7 days laterAuburn's next game: W 13-10 vs Texas A&M, Nov 12
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 5, 2022: Auburn 27, Mississippi State 13, Oct 28, 2023
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.