Regular season ·
Oregon State beat Stanford
Records are after this game.
Oregon State had a 6 percent chance to win with 0:00 left in the 3rd quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 28-27, October 8, 2022.
How the game turned
Q4 0:13 Oregon State 28, Stanford 27
Oregon State 37% to win
Gulbranson 56-yd TD pass to Harrison, two-point try fails, Oregon State goes ahead 28-27
Big moments
- 1Q1 3:37 · Oregon State 0, Stanford 7Oregon State's win chance fell from 56% to 43%.Filkins 1-yd TD run, Stanford goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 8:44 · Oregon State 7, Stanford 10Oregon State's win chance fell from 60% to 58%.Karty 47-yd field goal, Stanford goes ahead 10-7
- 3Q3 3:41 · Oregon State 10, Stanford 24Oregon State's win chance fell from 26% to 8%.McKee 37-yd TD pass to Tremayne, Stanford leads 24-10
- 4Q4 5:45 · Oregon State 22, Stanford 24Oregon State's win chance rose from 19% to 41%.Martinez 43-yd TD run, two-point try fails, cuts it to 24-22
- 5Q4 0:13 · Oregon State 28, Stanford 27Oregon State's win chance rose from 19% to 37%.Gulbranson 56-yd TD pass to Harrison, two-point try fails, Oregon State goes ahead 28-27
Oregon State's lowest chance to win was 6 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
How the lead changed
Oregon State took the lead for good with 0:13 left in the 4th quarter, Oregon State 28, Stanford 27.
What happened next
Oregon State's next game: W 24-10 vs Washington State, Oct 15
7 days laterStanford's next game: W 16-14 at Notre Dame, Oct 15
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 8, 2022: Oregon State 62, Stanford 17, Nov 11, 2023
about 13 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.