Regular season ·

Washington beat Oregon

No. 24 Washington8-237
No. 6 Oregon8-234Final
Sat, Nov 12 · Autzen Stadium, Eugene, Ore. · Crowd 58,756 · 44°, clearFOX

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 24 Washington beat No. 6 Oregon by 3 points.

How the game turned

Washington aheadOregon aheadLow: 10%
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Q4 0:51 Washington 37, Oregon 34

Washington 70% to win

Henry 43-yd field goal, Washington goes ahead 37-34

Big moments

  1. 1Q2 1:46 · Washington 13, Oregon 10Henry 27-yd field goal, Washington goes ahead 13-10
  2. 2Q3 13:16 · Washington 13, Oregon 17Washington's win chance fell from 38% to 26%.Nix 46-yd TD pass to Thornton, Oregon goes ahead 17-13
  3. 3Q3 9:21 · Washington 20, Oregon 17Washington's win chance rose from 28% to 41%.Davis 3-yd TD run, Washington goes ahead 20-17
  4. 4Q3 6:24 · Washington 20, Oregon 24Washington's win chance fell from 32% to 23%.Whittington 29-yd TD run, Oregon goes ahead 24-20
  5. 5Q3 5:30 · Washington 27, Oregon 24Washington's win chance rose from 23% to 48%.Penix 76-yd TD pass to Polk, Washington goes ahead 27-24
  6. 6Q3 3:40 · Washington 27, Oregon 31Washington's win chance fell from 45% to 17%.Nix 67-yd TD pass to Franklin, Oregon goes ahead 31-27
  7. 7Q4 3:07 · Washington 34, Oregon 34Washington's win chance rose from 11% to 47%.Penix 62-yd TD pass to Davis, ties it 34-34
  8. 8Q4 0:51 · Washington 37, Oregon 34Washington's win chance rose from 56% to 70%.Henry 43-yd field goal, Washington goes ahead 37-34

Washington's lowest chance to win was 10 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Washington took the lead for good with 0:51 left in the 4th quarter, Washington 37, Oregon 34.

It was Washington's first win over Oregon since the 2017 season, after 3 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.

What happened next

  1. Washington went from No. 24 to No. 15 in the next AP poll.

  2. Washington's next game: W 54-7 vs Colorado, Nov 19

    7 days later

  3. Oregon's next game: W 20-17 vs Utah, Nov 19

    7 days later

  4. The teams' next meeting after Nov 12, 2022: Washington 36, Oregon 33, Oct 14, 2023

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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