Regular season ·
Washington beat Oregon
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 7 Washington beat No. 8 Oregon by 3 points.
How the game turned
Q4 1:38 Washington 36, Oregon 33
Washington 58% to win
Penix 18-yd TD pass to Odunze, Washington goes ahead 36-33
Big moments
- 1Q1 10:49 · Washington 7, Oregon 0Washington's win chance rose from 59% to 73%.Penix 26-yd TD pass to Jackson, Washington goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q1 4:54 · Washington 7, Oregon 8Washington's win chance fell from 67% to 55%.Irving 12-yd TD run, two-point try good, Oregon goes ahead 8-7
- 3Q1 0:46 · Washington 14, Oregon 8Washington's win chance rose from 63% to 68%.Penix 26-yd TD pass to Polk, Washington goes ahead 14-8
- 4Q2 11:44 · Washington 14, Oregon 15Washington's win chance fell from 66% to 56%.Nix 11-yd TD pass to Herbert, Oregon goes ahead 15-14
- 5Q2 5:12 · Washington 22, Oregon 15Washington's win chance rose from 64% to 69%.Johnson 7-yd TD run, two-point try good, Washington goes ahead 22-15
- 6Q4 12:58 · Washington 29, Oregon 33Washington's win chance fell from 56% to 38%.James 10-yd TD run, Oregon goes ahead 33-29
- 7Q4 1:38 · Washington 36, Oregon 33Washington's win chance rose from 29% to 58%.Penix 18-yd TD pass to Odunze, Washington goes ahead 36-33
Washington's lowest chance to win was 12 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 1:38 left in the 4th quarter, Washington's chance to win went from 29 percent to 58 percent when Washington scored a touchdown.
The score went from Washington 29, Oregon 33 to Washington 36, Oregon 33.
The play: Penix 18-yd TD pass to Odunze, Washington goes ahead 36-33.
What happened next
Washington's next game: W 15-7 vs Arizona State, Oct 21
7 days laterOregon's next game: W 38-24 vs Washington State, Oct 21
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 14, 2023: Washington 34, Oregon 31, Dec 1, 2023
48 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

