Pac-12 Championship ·

Pac-12 Championship

Pac-12 Championship
No. 5 Oregon11-231
No. 3 Washington13-034Final
Fri, Dec 1 · Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Nev. (neutral site) · Crowd 61,195 · IndoorsABC

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 3 Washington beat No. 5 Oregon by 3 points, the Pac-12 Championship.

It was played at a neutral site: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV.

How the game turned

Washington aheadOregon aheadBiggest swingLow: 14%

Q4 2:44 Washington 34, Oregon 24

Washington 89% to win

Penix 2-yd TD pass to Moore, Washington leads 34-24

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 7:34 · Washington 3, Oregon 0Washington's win chance rose from 30% to 33%.Gross 38-yd field goal, Washington goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q3 9:39 · Washington 20, Oregon 17Washington's win chance fell from 62% to 46%.Nix 2-yd TD pass to Ferguson, cuts it to 20-17
  3. 3Q3 1:51 · Washington 20, Oregon 24Washington's win chance fell from 34% to 18%.James 6-yd TD run, Oregon goes ahead 24-20
  4. 4Q4 12:23 · Washington 27, Oregon 24Washington's win chance rose from 19% to 48%.Johnson 1-yd TD run, Washington goes ahead 27-24
  5. 5Q4 2:44 · Washington 34, Oregon 24Washington's win chance rose from 47% to 89%.Penix 2-yd TD pass to Moore, Washington leads 34-24

Washington's lowest chance to win was 14 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 2:44 left in the 4th quarter, Washington's chance to win went from 47 percent to 89 percent when Washington scored a touchdown.

The score went from Washington 27, Oregon 24 to Washington 34, Oregon 24.

The play: Penix 2-yd TD pass to Moore, Washington leads 34-24.

What happened next

  1. Washington's next game: W 37-31 vs Texas in the CFP Semifinal at the Allstate Sugar Bowl, Jan 1

    31 days later
  2. Oregon's next game: W 45-6 vs Liberty in the VRBO Fiesta Bowl, Jan 1

    31 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Dec 1, 2023: Oregon 49, Washington 21, Nov 30, 2024

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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