Regular season ·

BYU beat Baylor

Baylor1-120
BYU2-026Final
Sat, Sep 10 · LaVell Edwards Stadium, Provo, Utah · Crowd 63,470 · 69°, clearESPN

Records are after this game.

BYU beat Baylor 26-20 in 2 overtimes, September 10, 2022.

How the game turned

BYU aheadBaylor aheadBiggest swingLow: 29%
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Q4 10:01 BYU 20, Baylor 20

BYU 54% to win

Shapen 4-yd TD pass to Sims, ties it 20-20

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 11:31 · BYU 3, Baylor 0Oldroyd 27-yd field goal, BYU goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 1:37 · BYU 3, Baylor 6BYU's win chance fell from 56% to 41%.Jones 1-yd TD run, Baylor goes ahead 6-3
  3. 3Q2 0:02 · BYU 10, Baylor 6BYU's win chance rose from 48% to 55%.Hall 20-yd TD pass to Roberts, BYU goes ahead 10-6
  4. 4Q3 10:53 · BYU 10, Baylor 13BYU's win chance fell from 48% to 38%.Jones 7-yd TD run, Baylor goes ahead 13-10
  5. 5Q3 1:28 · BYU 20, Baylor 13BYU's win chance rose from 65% to 79%.Roberts 22-yd TD pass to Hall, BYU goes ahead 20-13
  6. 6Q4 10:01 · BYU 20, Baylor 20BYU's win chance fell from 80% to 54%.Shapen 4-yd TD pass to Sims, ties it 20-20
  7. 7OT2 · BYU 26, Baylor 20Katoa 3-yd TD run, two-point try fails, BYU goes ahead 26-20

BYU's lowest chance to win was 29 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 10:01 left in the 4th quarter, Baylor's chance to win went from 20 percent to 47 percent when Baylor scored a touchdown.

The score went from BYU 20, Baylor 13 to BYU 20, Baylor 20.

The play: Shapen 4-yd TD pass to Sims, ties it 20-20.

What happened next

  1. BYU's next game: L 20-41 at Oregon, Sep 17

    7 days later

  2. Baylor's next game: W 42-7 vs Texas State, Sep 17

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Sep 10, 2022: BYU 34, Baylor 28, Sep 28, 2024

    about 2 years later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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