Regular season ·
Iowa State beat Iowa
Records are after this game.
Iowa State beat Iowa by 3 points.
How the game turned
Q4 8:27 Iowa State 10, Iowa 7
Iowa State 67% to win
Dekkers 8-yd TD pass to Hutchinson, Iowa State goes ahead 10-7
Big moments
- 1Q1 12:21 · Iowa State 0, Iowa 7Iowa State's win chance fell from 56% to 35%.Williams 9-yd TD run, Iowa goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q4 8:27 · Iowa State 10, Iowa 7Iowa State's win chance rose from 39% to 67%.Dekkers 8-yd TD pass to Hutchinson, Iowa State goes ahead 10-7
- 3Q4 (no clock) · Iowa State 10, Iowa 7Iowa State's win chance fell from 89% to 69%.Dekkers incomplete, turnover on downs
Iowa State's lowest chance to win was 22 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 8:27 left in the 4th quarter, Iowa State's chance to win went from 39 percent to 67 percent when Iowa State scored a touchdown.
The score went from Iowa State 3, Iowa 7 to Iowa State 10, Iowa 7.
The play: Dekkers 8-yd TD pass to Hutchinson, Iowa State goes ahead 10-7.
It was Iowa State's first win over Iowa since the 2014 season, after 6 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
Iowa State's next game: W 43-10 vs Ohio, Sep 17
7 days laterIowa's next game: W 27-0 vs Nevada, Sep 17
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Sep 10, 2022: Iowa 20, Iowa State 13, Sep 9, 2023
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.