Regular season ·

Miami (OH) beat Northwestern

Miami (OH)2-217
Northwestern1-314Final
Sat, Sep 24 · Ryan Field, Evanston, Ill. · Crowd 23,773 · 63°, cloudyBTN

Records are after this game.

Miami (OH) beat Northwestern by 3 points.

How the game turned

Miami (OH) aheadNorthwestern aheadLow: 5%

Q4 0:21 Miami (OH) 17, Northwestern 14

Miami (OH) 62% to win

Nicholson 36-yd field goal, Miami (OH) goes ahead 17-14

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 3:36 · Miami (OH) 0, Northwestern 7Miami (OH)'s win chance fell from 25% to 21%.Hilinski 1-yd TD run, Northwestern goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 0:27 · Miami (OH) 7, Northwestern 7Miami (OH)'s win chance rose from 18% to 34%.Smith 12-yd TD pass to Hippenhammer, ties it 7-7
  3. 3Q4 8:34 · Miami (OH) 7, Northwestern 14Miami (OH)'s win chance fell from 34% to 13%.Porter 2-yd TD run, Northwestern goes ahead 14-7
  4. 4Q4 7:23 · Miami (OH) 14, Northwestern 14Miami (OH)'s win chance rose from 14% to 44%.Smith 1-yd TD run, ties it 14-14
  5. 5Q4 0:21 · Miami (OH) 17, Northwestern 14Nicholson 36-yd field goal, Miami (OH) goes ahead 17-14

Miami (OH)'s lowest chance to win was 5 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Miami (OH) took the lead for good with 0:21 left in the 4th quarter, Miami (OH) 17, Northwestern 14.

What happened next

  1. Miami (OH)'s next game: L 20-24 at Buffalo, Oct 1

    7 days later
  2. Northwestern's next game: L 7-17 at Penn State, Oct 1

    7 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Sep 24, 2022: Northwestern 13, Miami (OH) 6, Aug 31, 2024

    about 23 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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