Regular season ·
Michigan State beat Wisconsin
Records are after this game.
Michigan State beat Wisconsin 34-28 in 2 overtimes, October 15, 2022.
How the game turned
OT2 Michigan State 34, Wisconsin 28
Michigan State 100% to win
Thorne 27-yd TD pass to Reed
Big moments
- 1Q1 8:01 · Michigan State 0, Wisconsin 7Michigan State's win chance fell from 28% to 23%.Allen 1-yd TD run, Wisconsin goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 10:21 · Michigan State 7, Wisconsin 14Michigan State's win chance fell from 34% to 11%.Allen 1-yd TD run, Wisconsin goes ahead 14-7
- 3Q4 7:23 · Michigan State 21, Wisconsin 14Michigan State's win chance rose from 17% to 24%.Thorne 27-yd TD pass to Coleman, Michigan State goes ahead 21-14
- 4OT1 · Michigan State 28, Wisconsin 21Michigan State's win chance rose from 10% to 39%.Reed 25-yd TD pass to Coleman, Michigan State goes ahead 28-21
- 5OT1 · Michigan State 28, Wisconsin 28Michigan State's win chance fell from 38% to 28%.Mertz 25-yd TD pass to Dike, ties it 28-28
- 6OT2 · Michigan State 34, Wisconsin 28Michigan State's win chance rose from 35% to 100%.Thorne 27-yd TD pass to Reed
Michigan State's lowest chance to win was 1 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
In the second overtime, Michigan State's chance to win went from 35 percent to 99 percent when Michigan State scored a touchdown.
The score went from Michigan State 28, Wisconsin 28 to Michigan State 34, Wisconsin 28.
The play: Thorne 27-yd TD pass to Reed.
What happened next
Wisconsin's next game: W 35-24 vs Purdue, Oct 22
7 days laterMichigan State's next game: L 7-29 at Michigan, Oct 29
14 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 15, 2022: Wisconsin 31, Michigan State 3, Oct 3, 2026
about 4 years later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.