Regular season ·
New Mexico State beat New Mexico
Records are after this game.
New Mexico State beat New Mexico by 12 points.
How the game turned
Q3 4:55 New Mexico State 21, New Mexico 6
New Mexico State 92% to win
Thomas 2-yd TD run, New Mexico State leads 21-6
Big moments
- 1Q1 9:27 · New Mexico State 0, New Mexico 3New Mexico State's win chance fell from 27% to 26%.Drzewiecki 44-yd field goal, New Mexico goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q1 3:00 · New Mexico State 7, New Mexico 3New Mexico State's win chance rose from 28% to 37%.Frakes 22-yd TD pass to Watkins, New Mexico State goes ahead 7-3
- 3Q3 4:55 · New Mexico State 21, New Mexico 6New Mexico State's win chance rose from 72% to 92%.Thomas 2-yd TD run, New Mexico State leads 21-6
New Mexico State's lowest chance to win was 20 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 4:55 left in the 3rd quarter, New Mexico State's chance to win went from 72 percent to 92 percent when New Mexico State scored a touchdown.
The score went from New Mexico State 14, New Mexico 6 to New Mexico State 21, New Mexico 6.
The play: Thomas 2-yd TD run, New Mexico State leads 21-6.
It was New Mexico State's first win over New Mexico since the 2017 season, after 3 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
New Mexico's next game: L 9-41 vs Fresno State, Oct 22
7 days laterNew Mexico State's next game: W 23-13 at Massachusetts, Oct 29
14 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 15, 2022: New Mexico State 27, New Mexico 17, Sep 16, 2023
about 11 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.