Regular season ·
NC State beat North Carolina
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
NC State beat North Carolina 30-27 in 2 overtimes, November 25, 2022.
How the game turned
Q4 3:54 NC State 24, North Carolina 17
NC State 87% to win
Finley 26-yd TD pass to Carter, NC State goes ahead 24-17
Big moments
- 1Q1 13:20 · NC State 7, North Carolina 0NC State's win chance rose from 40% to 50%.Chambers 2-yd TD run, NC State goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q4 3:54 · NC State 24, North Carolina 17NC State's win chance rose from 46% to 87%.Finley 26-yd TD pass to Carter, NC State goes ahead 24-17
- 3OT1 · NC State 24, North Carolina 27NC State's win chance fell from 46% to 41%.Burnette 26-yd field goal, North Carolina goes ahead 27-24
- 4OT1 · NC State 27, North Carolina 27NC State's win chance rose from 36% to 50%.Dunn 31-yd field goal, ties it 27-27
- 5OT2 · NC State 30, North Carolina 27Dunn 21-yd field goal, NC State goes ahead 30-27
NC State's lowest chance to win was 29 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 3:54 left in the 4th quarter, NC State's chance to win went from 46 percent to 87 percent when NC State scored a touchdown.
The score went from NC State 17, North Carolina 17 to NC State 24, North Carolina 17.
The play: Finley 26-yd TD pass to Carter, NC State goes ahead 24-17.
What happened next
North Carolina's next game: L 10-39 vs Clemson, Dec 3
8 days laterNC State's next game: L 12-16 vs Maryland in the Duke's Mayo Bowl, Dec 30
35 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 25, 2022: NC State 39, North Carolina 20, Nov 25, 2023
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.