Regular season ·

UNLV beat Nevada

Nevada2-1022
UNLV5-727Final
Sat, Nov 26 · Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Nev. · Crowd 24,873 · Indoors

Records are after this game.

UNLV beat Nevada by 5 points.

How the game turned

UNLV aheadNevada aheadBiggest swingLow: 35%
12345

Q3 (no clock) UNLV 17, Nevada 16

UNLV 77% to win

Nate Cox pass intercepted

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 11:04 · UNLV 0, Nevada 3Talton 25-yd field goal, Nevada goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q1 0:00 · UNLV 7, Nevada 13UNLV's win chance rose from 38% to 53%.Baldwin fumble return TD, cuts it to 13-7
  3. 3Q2 11:32 · UNLV 14, Nevada 13UNLV's win chance rose from 60% to 71%.Bailey 49-yd TD pass to Williams, UNLV goes ahead 14-13
  4. 4Q3 0:00 · UNLV 17, Nevada 16UNLV's win chance rose from 67% to 83%.Robbins 31-yd run
  5. 5Q4 6:45 · UNLV 27, Nevada 16UNLV's win chance rose from 81% to 95%.Bailey 30-yd TD pass to Williams, UNLV leads 27-16

UNLV's lowest chance to win was 35 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

In the 3rd quarter, UNLV's chance to win went from 58 percent to 77 percent on an interception.

The score stayed UNLV 17, Nevada 16.

What happened next

  1. UNLV finished the 2022 season 5-7.

  2. Nevada finished the 2022 season 2-10.

  3. UNLV's first game of the 2023 season: W 44-14 vs Bryant, Sep 2, 2023

    about 9 months later

  4. Nevada's first game of the 2023 season: L 14-66 at USC, Sep 2, 2023

    about 9 months later

  5. The teams' next meeting after Nov 26, 2022: UNLV 45, Nevada 27, Oct 14, 2023

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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