Regular season ·
Navy beat East Carolina
Records are after this game.
Navy had a 7 percent chance to win with 13:14 left in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 23-20 in 2 overtimes, September 24, 2022.
How the game turned
Q4 8:12 Navy 17, East Carolina 17
Navy 36% to win
Navy's lowest chance to win was 7 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 8:12 left in the 4th quarter, East Carolina's chance to win went from 21 percent to 64 percent when East Carolina scored a touchdown.
The score went from Navy 17, East Carolina 10 to Navy 17, East Carolina 17.
What happened next
Navy's next game: L 10-13 at Air Force, Oct 1
7 days laterEast Carolina's next game: W 48-28 vs South Florida, Oct 1
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Sep 24, 2022: Navy 10, East Carolina 0, Nov 18, 2023
about 14 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.