Regular season ·
Houston beat Memphis
Records are after this game.
Houston trailed Memphis by 19 points in the 4th quarter and won 33-32, October 7, 2022.
How the game turned
Q4 0:18 Houston 33, Memphis 32
Houston 44% to win
Tune 2-yd TD pass to Carter, Houston goes ahead 33-32
Big moments
- 1Q1 6:15 · Houston 0, Memphis 7Houston's win chance fell from 41% to 32%.Thomas 3-yd TD run, Memphis goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q4 0:18 · Houston 33, Memphis 32Houston's win chance rose from 25% to 44%.Tune 2-yd TD pass to Carter, Houston goes ahead 33-32
Houston's lowest chance to win was 2 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:18 left in the 4th quarter, Houston's chance to win went from 25 percent to 44 percent when Houston scored a touchdown.
The score went from Houston 26, Memphis 32 to Houston 33, Memphis 32.
The play: Tune 2-yd TD pass to Carter, Houston goes ahead 33-32.
What happened next
Memphis's next game: L 45-47 at East Carolina, Oct 15
8 days laterHouston's next game: W 38-20 at Navy, Oct 22
15 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

