Regular season ·

Ball State beat Kent State

Ball State5-427
Kent State3-620Final
Tue, Nov 1 · Dix Stadium, Kent, Ohio · Crowd 6,455 · 58°, clearESPNU

Records are after this game.

Ball State beat Kent State by 7 points.

How the game turned

Ball State aheadKent State aheadBiggest swingLow: 8%

Q4 3:21 Ball State 27, Kent State 20

Ball State 87% to win

Paddock 8-yd TD pass to Koziol, Ball State goes ahead 27-20

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 11:32 · Ball State 0, Kent State 3Glass 40-yd field goal, Kent State goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 4:54 · Ball State 14, Kent State 13Ball State's win chance rose from 30% to 43%.Paddock 43-yd TD pass to Jackson, Ball State goes ahead 14-13
  3. 3Q4 6:08 · Ball State 20, Kent State 20Ball State's win chance fell from 75% to 47%.Cooper 23-yd TD run, ties it 20-20
  4. 4Q4 3:21 · Ball State 27, Kent State 20Ball State's win chance rose from 55% to 87%.Paddock 8-yd TD pass to Koziol, Ball State goes ahead 27-20

Ball State's lowest chance to win was 8 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 3:21 left in the 4th quarter, Ball State's chance to win went from 55 percent to 87 percent when Ball State scored a touchdown.

The score went from Ball State 20, Kent State 20 to Ball State 27, Kent State 20.

The play: Paddock 8-yd TD pass to Koziol, Ball State goes ahead 27-20.

What happened next

  1. Ball State's next game: L 21-28 at Toledo, Nov 8

    7 days later
  2. Kent State's next game: W 40-6 at Bowling Green, Nov 9

    8 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 1, 2022: Ball State 34, Kent State 3, Nov 18, 2023

    about 13 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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