Regular season ·
Bowling Green beat Toledo
Records are after this game.
Bowling Green beat Toledo by 7 points.
How the game turned
Q4 0:51 Bowling Green 34, Toledo 35
Bowling Green 52% to win
Gleason 1-yd TD run, Toledo goes ahead 35-34
Big moments
- 1Q1 7:41 · Bowling Green 7, Toledo 0Bowling Green's win chance rose from 26% to 32%.McDonald 25-yd TD pass to Hiliare, Bowling Green goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q1 2:50 · Bowling Green 14, Toledo 0Bowling Green's win chance rose from 44% to 58%.McDonald 3-yd TD pass to Bench, Bowling Green leads 14-0
- 3Q4 9:20 · Bowling Green 34, Toledo 21Bowling Green's win chance rose from 75% to 94%.McDonald 59-yd TD pass to Hiliare, Bowling Green leads 34-21
- 4Q4 0:51 · Bowling Green 34, Toledo 35Bowling Green's win chance fell from 87% to 52%.Gleason 1-yd TD run, Toledo goes ahead 35-34
- 5Q4 0:09 · Bowling Green 42, Toledo 35Bowling Green's win chance rose from 66% to 93%.McDonald 42-yd TD pass to Keith, two-point try good, Bowling Green goes ahead 42-35
Bowling Green's lowest chance to win was 16 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:51 left in the 4th quarter, Toledo's chance to win went from 14 percent to 48 percent when Toledo scored a touchdown.
The score went from Bowling Green 34, Toledo 28 to Bowling Green 34, Toledo 35.
The play: Gleason 1-yd TD run, Toledo goes ahead 35-34.
What happened next
Bowling Green's next game: L 14-38 at Ohio, Nov 22
7 days laterToledo's next game: L 14-20 at Western Michigan, Nov 25
10 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 15, 2022: Toledo 32, Bowling Green 31, Nov 14, 2023
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.