Regular season ·
South Alabama beat Louisiana
Records are after this game.
South Alabama beat Louisiana by 3 points.
How the game turned
Q4 0:00 South Alabama 20, Louisiana 17
South Alabama 100% to win
Guajardo 43-yd field goal, South Alabama wins it 20-17
Big moments
- 1Q1 7:53 · South Alabama 0, Louisiana 7South Alabama's win chance fell from 69% to 55%.Garror return TD, Louisiana goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 2:54 · South Alabama 7, Louisiana 7South Alabama's win chance rose from 48% to 66%.Webb 1-yd TD run, ties it 7-7
- 3Q3 8:29 · South Alabama 10, Louisiana 7South Alabama's win chance rose from 70% to 74%.Guajardo 38-yd field goal, South Alabama goes ahead 10-7
- 4Q4 0:42 · South Alabama 17, Louisiana 17South Alabama's win chance fell from 84% to 66%.Wooldridge 1-yd TD pass to Migl, ties it 17-17
- 5Q4 0:00 · South Alabama 20, Louisiana 17South Alabama's win chance rose from 78% to 100%.Guajardo 43-yd field goal, South Alabama wins it 20-17
South Alabama's lowest chance to win was 44 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, South Alabama's chance to win went from 78 percent to 99 percent when South Alabama kicked a field goal.
The score went from South Alabama 17, Louisiana 17 to South Alabama 20, Louisiana 17.
The play: Guajardo 43-yd field goal, South Alabama wins it 20-17.
It was South Alabama's first win over Louisiana since the 2015 season, after 6 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
Louisiana's next game: W 23-13 at Marshall, Oct 12
11 days laterSouth Alabama's next game: W 41-34 vs UL Monroe, Oct 15
14 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 1, 2022: Louisiana 33, South Alabama 20, Oct 28, 2023
about 13 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.