Regular season ·

Texas State beat App State

App State3-324
Texas State3-336Final
Sat, Oct 8 · Bobcat Stadium, San Marcos, Texas · Crowd 25,613 · 86°, cloudyESPN+

Records are after this game.

Texas State beat App State by 12 points.

How the game turned

Texas State aheadApp State aheadBiggest swingLow: 8%

Q2 (no clock) Texas State 17, App State 0

Texas State 74% to win

Nate Noel run for 6 yds, fumbled, recovered by Morris

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 4:54 · Texas State 7, App State 0Texas State's win chance rose from 20% to 27%.Pare 2-yd TD run, Texas State goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q3 10:06 · Texas State 30, App State 3Texas State's win chance rose from 80% to 95%.Spears interception return TD, two-point try good, Texas State leads 30-3

Texas State's lowest chance to win was 8 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

In the 2nd quarter, Texas State's chance to win went from 55 percent to 74 percent on a fumble.

The score stayed Texas State 17, App State 0.

It was Texas State's first win over App State since 1970 in our games data, after 6 straight losses in the series.

What happened next

  1. Texas State's next game: L 14-17 at Troy, Oct 15

    7 days later
  2. App State's next game: W 42-17 vs Georgia State, Oct 19

    11 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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