Regular season ·

Troy beat Louisiana

Troy7-223
Louisiana4-517Final
Sat, Nov 5 · Cajun Field, Lafayette, La. · Crowd 7,888 · 70°, cloudyESPN+

Records are after this game.

Troy trailed Louisiana by 17 points in the 3rd quarter and won 23-17, November 5, 2022.

How the game turned

Troy aheadLouisiana aheadLow: 6%

Q4 0:05 Troy 23, Louisiana 17

Troy 75% to win

Vidal 22-yd TD run, blocked, Troy goes ahead 23-17

Big moments

  1. 1Q2 5:39 · Troy 0, Louisiana 7Troy's win chance fell from 58% to 43%.Wooldridge 11-yd TD run, Louisiana goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q4 12:01 · Troy 14, Louisiana 17Troy's win chance rose from 19% to 38%.Watson 35-yd TD pass to Lewis, cuts it to 17-14
  3. 3Q4 2:41 · Troy 17, Louisiana 17Troy's win chance rose from 39% to 57%.Buce 37-yd field goal, ties it 17-17
  4. 4Q4 0:05 · Troy 23, Louisiana 17Troy's win chance rose from 56% to 75%.Vidal 22-yd TD run, blocked, Troy goes ahead 23-17

Troy's lowest chance to win was 6 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Troy took the lead for good with 0:05 left in the 4th quarter, Troy 23, Louisiana 17.

What happened next

  1. Louisiana's next game: W 36-17 vs Georgia Southern, Nov 10

    5 days later
  2. Troy's next game: W 10-9 vs Army, Nov 12

    7 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 5, 2022: Troy 31, Louisiana 24, Nov 18, 2023

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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