Regular season ·
Texas State beat Arkansas State
Records are after this game.
Texas State beat Arkansas State by 3 points.
How the game turned
Q4 0:02 Texas State 16, Arkansas State 13
Texas State 100% to win
Keller 29-yd field goal, Texas State wins it 16-13
Big moments
- 1Q1 9:14 · Texas State 3, Arkansas State 0Keller 25-yd field goal, Texas State goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q2 0:24 · Texas State 3, Arkansas State 7Texas State's win chance fell from 61% to 49%.Blackman 26-yd TD pass to Lang, Arkansas State goes ahead 7-3
- 3Q4 3:17 · Texas State 13, Arkansas State 10Keller 49-yd field goal, Texas State goes ahead 13-10
- 4Q4 0:31 · Texas State 13, Arkansas State 13Texas State's win chance fell from 53% to 47%.Zvada 23-yd field goal, ties it 13-13
- 5Q4 0:02 · Texas State 16, Arkansas State 13Texas State's win chance rose from 49% to 100%.Keller 29-yd field goal, Texas State wins it 16-13
Texas State's lowest chance to win was 15 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:02 left in the 4th quarter, Texas State's chance to win went from 49 percent to 99 percent when Texas State kicked a field goal.
The score went from Texas State 13, Arkansas State 13 to Texas State 16, Arkansas State 13.
The play: Keller 29-yd field goal, Texas State wins it 16-13.
What happened next
Texas State's next game: L 13-41 vs Louisiana, Nov 26
7 days laterArkansas State's next game: L 19-48 vs Troy, Nov 26
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 19, 2022: Arkansas State 77, Texas State 31, Nov 18, 2023
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.