Regular season ·
Middle Tennessee beat Miami
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
Middle Tennessee beat No. 25 Miami by 14 points.
Miami was No. 25 in the AP poll before the game; Middle Tennessee was not ranked.
How the game turned
Q3 8:01 Middle Tennessee 31, Miami 10
Middle Tennessee 88% to win
Cunningham 69-yd TD pass to Metcalf, Middle Tennessee leads 31-10
Big moments
- 1Q1 10:46 · Middle Tennessee 3, Miami 0Rankin 28-yd field goal, Middle Tennessee goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q2 12:17 · Middle Tennessee 24, Miami 3Middle Tennessee's win chance rose from 43% to 53%.Cunningham 9-yd TD run, Middle Tennessee leads 24-3
- 3Q3 8:01 · Middle Tennessee 31, Miami 10Middle Tennessee's win chance rose from 69% to 88%.Cunningham 69-yd TD pass to Metcalf, Middle Tennessee leads 31-10
- 4Q4 14:45 · Middle Tennessee 38, Miami 17Middle Tennessee's win chance rose from 82% to 97%.Cunningham 98-yd TD pass to England-Chisolm, Middle Tennessee leads 38-17
Middle Tennessee's lowest chance to win was 4 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 8:01 left in the 3rd quarter, Middle Tennessee's chance to win went from 69 percent to 88 percent when Middle Tennessee scored a touchdown.
The score went from Middle Tennessee 24, Miami 10 to Middle Tennessee 31, Miami 10.
The play: Cunningham 69-yd TD pass to Metcalf, Middle Tennessee leads 31-10.
What happened next
Middle Tennessee's next game: L 30-45 vs UTSA, Sep 30
6 days laterMiami's next game: L 24-27 vs North Carolina, Oct 8
14 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.