Regular season ·

Western Kentucky beat Middle Tennessee

Western Kentucky4-335
Middle Tennessee3-417Final
Sat, Oct 15 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, Tenn. · Crowd 14,806 · 73°, cloudyESPN+

Records are after this game.

Western Kentucky beat Middle Tennessee by 18 points.

How the game turned

Western Kentucky aheadMiddle Tennessee aheadLow: 43%
123

Q2 2:39 Western Kentucky 14, Middle Tennessee 7

Western Kentucky 81% to win

Robichaux 14-yd TD run, Western Kentucky goes ahead 14-7

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 13:10 · Western Kentucky 0, Middle Tennessee 7Western Kentucky's win chance fell from 69% to 58%.Cunningham 14-yd TD run, Middle Tennessee goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 14:56 · Western Kentucky 7, Middle Tennessee 7Western Kentucky's win chance rose from 53% to 65%.Reed 3-yd TD pass to Corley, ties it 7-7
  3. 3Q2 2:39 · Western Kentucky 14, Middle Tennessee 7Western Kentucky's win chance rose from 72% to 81%.Robichaux 14-yd TD run, Western Kentucky goes ahead 14-7

Western Kentucky's lowest chance to win was 43 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Western Kentucky took the lead for good with 2:39 left in the 2nd quarter, Western Kentucky 14, Middle Tennessee 7.

What happened next

  1. Western Kentucky's next game: W 20-17 vs UAB, Oct 21

    6 days later

  2. Middle Tennessee's next game: W 24-13 at UTEP, Oct 29

    14 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 15, 2022: Western Kentucky 31, Middle Tennessee 10, Sep 28, 2023

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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