Mountain West Championship Game ·
Mountain West Championship Game
Records are after this game.
Fresno State beat Boise State by 12 points, the Mountain West Championship Game.
How the game turned
Q2 1:18 Fresno State 14, Boise State 3
Fresno State 77% to win
Mims 2-yd TD run, Fresno State leads 14-3
Big moments
- 1Q1 12:14 · Fresno State 0, Boise State 0Fresno State's win chance rose from 38% to 49%.Green incomplete to McAlister, turnover on downs
- 2Q2 10:16 · Fresno State 0, Boise State 3Dalmas 26-yd field goal, Boise State goes ahead 3-0
- 3Q2 3:54 · Fresno State 7, Boise State 3Fresno State's win chance rose from 42% to 58%.Remigio return TD, Fresno State goes ahead 7-3
- 4Q2 1:18 · Fresno State 14, Boise State 3Fresno State's win chance rose from 57% to 77%.Mims 2-yd TD run, Fresno State leads 14-3
- 5Q4 14:49 · Fresno State 21, Boise State 9Fresno State's win chance rose from 79% to 90%.Haener 22-yd TD pass to Pope, Fresno State leads 21-9
Fresno State's lowest chance to win was 30 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 1:18 left in the 2nd quarter, Fresno State's chance to win went from 57 percent to 77 percent when Fresno State scored a touchdown.
The score went from Fresno State 7, Boise State 3 to Fresno State 14, Boise State 3.
The play: Mims 2-yd TD run, Fresno State leads 14-3.
What happened next
Fresno State's next game: W 29-6 vs Washington State in the Jimmy Kimmel La Bowl, Dec 17
14 days laterBoise State's next game: W 35-32 vs North Texas in the Frisco Bowl, Dec 17
14 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Dec 3, 2022: Fresno State 37, Boise State 30, Nov 4, 2023
about 11 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.