Capital One Orange Bowl ·
Capital One Orange Bowl
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 6 Tennessee beat No. 10 Clemson by 17 points, the Capital One Orange Bowl.
It was played at a neutral site: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL.
How the game turned
Q4 8:34 Tennessee 28, Clemson 14
Tennessee 95% to win
Milton 46-yd TD pass to Keyton, Tennessee leads 28-14
Big moments
- 1Q1 5:17 · Tennessee 7, Clemson 0Tennessee's win chance rose from 54% to 59%.Milton 16-yd TD pass to McCoy, Tennessee goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q3 0:05 · Tennessee 21, Clemson 6Tennessee's win chance rose from 85% to 95%.Milton 14-yd TD pass to White, Tennessee leads 21-6
- 3Q4 8:34 · Tennessee 28, Clemson 14Tennessee's win chance rose from 68% to 95%.Milton 46-yd TD pass to Keyton, Tennessee leads 28-14
Tennessee's lowest chance to win was 28 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 8:34 left in the 4th quarter, Tennessee's chance to win went from 68 percent to 95 percent when Tennessee scored a touchdown.
The score went from Tennessee 21, Clemson 14 to Tennessee 28, Clemson 14.
The play: Milton 46-yd TD pass to Keyton, Tennessee leads 28-14.
What happened next
Tennessee finished the 2022 season 11-2, No. 6 in the last AP poll before the bowls.
Clemson finished the 2022 season 11-3, No. 10 in the last AP poll before the bowls.
Tennessee's first game of the 2023 season: W 49-13 vs Virginia, Sep 2, 2023
about 8 months laterClemson's first game of the 2023 season: L 7-28 at Duke, Sep 4, 2023
about 8 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.