San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl ·
San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 15 Oregon beat North Carolina by 1 point, the San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl.
It was played at a neutral site: Petco Park, San Diego, CA.
How the game turned
Q4 0:19 Oregon 28, North Carolina 27
Oregon 61% to win
Nix 6-yd TD pass to Cota, Oregon goes ahead 28-27
Big moments
- 1Q1 11:05 · Oregon 7, North Carolina 0Oregon's win chance rose from 79% to 87%.Irving 2-yd TD run, Oregon goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 9:13 · Oregon 14, North Carolina 7Oregon's win chance rose from 75% to 87%.Irving 66-yd TD run, Oregon goes ahead 14-7
- 3Q2 0:26 · Oregon 14, North Carolina 21Oregon's win chance fell from 84% to 58%.Maye 49-yd TD pass to Paysour, North Carolina goes ahead 21-14
- 4Q4 6:58 · Oregon 21, North Carolina 24Oregon's win chance rose from 17% to 35%.Nix 6-yd TD pass to Franklin, cuts it to 24-21
- 5Q4 0:19 · Oregon 28, North Carolina 27Oregon's win chance rose from 38% to 61%.Nix 6-yd TD pass to Cota, Oregon goes ahead 28-27
Oregon's lowest chance to win was 14 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
How the lead changed
Oregon took the lead for good with 0:19 left in the 4th quarter, Oregon 28, North Carolina 27.
What happened next
Oregon finished the 2022 season 10-3, No. 15 in the last AP poll before the bowls.
North Carolina finished the 2022 season 9-5.
Oregon's first game of the 2023 season: W 81-7 vs Portland State, Sep 2, 2023
about 8 months laterNorth Carolina's first game of the 2023 season: W 31-17 vs South Carolina, Sep 2, 2023
about 8 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.