Regular season ·
Texas beat Alabama
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 11 Texas beat No. 3 Alabama by 10 points.
How the game turned
Q4 14:05 Texas 20, Alabama 16
Texas 62% to win
Ewers 7-yd TD pass to Mitchell, Texas goes ahead 20-16
Big moments
- 1Q1 4:42 · Texas 3, Alabama 0Auburn 22-yd field goal, Texas goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q2 13:26 · Texas 10, Alabama 3Texas's win chance rose from 40% to 53%.Ewers 44-yd TD pass to Worthy, Texas goes ahead 10-3
- 3Q3 0:14 · Texas 13, Alabama 16Texas's win chance fell from 50% to 28%.Milroe 49-yd TD pass to Burton, Alabama goes ahead 16-13
- 4Q4 14:05 · Texas 20, Alabama 16Texas's win chance rose from 35% to 62%.Ewers 7-yd TD pass to Mitchell, Texas goes ahead 20-16
- 5Q4 8:23 · Texas 34, Alabama 24Texas's win chance rose from 73% to 90%.Ewers 39-yd TD pass to Mitchell, Texas leads 34-24
Texas's lowest chance to win was 28 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 14:05 left in the 4th quarter, Texas's chance to win went from 35 percent to 62 percent when Texas scored a touchdown.
The score went from Texas 13, Alabama 16 to Texas 20, Alabama 16.
The play: Ewers 7-yd TD pass to Mitchell, Texas goes ahead 20-16.
What happened next
Texas's next game: W 31-10 vs Wyoming, Sep 16
7 days laterAlabama's next game: W 17-3 at South Florida, Sep 16
7 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.