Regular season ·
Mississippi State beat Arizona
Records are after this game.
Mississippi State beat Arizona by 7 points in overtime.
How the game turned
Q4 9:14 Mississippi State 21, Arizona 21
Mississippi State 61% to win
de Laura 11-yd TD pass to McMillan
Big moments
- 1Q1 5:06 · Mississippi State 7, Arizona 0Mississippi State's win chance rose from 77% to 82%.Rogers 23-yd TD pass to Griffin, Mississippi State goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q4 6:47 · Mississippi State 24, Arizona 21Mississippi State's win chance rose from 65% to 78%.Ferrie 36-yd field goal, Mississippi State goes ahead 24-21
- 3Q4 0:05 · Mississippi State 24, Arizona 24Mississippi State's win chance fell from 71% to 63%.Loop 36-yd field goal, ties it 24-24
- 4OT1 · Mississippi State 31, Arizona 24Mississippi State's win chance rose from 57% to 68%.Rogers 29-yd TD pass to Pittman, Mississippi State goes ahead 31-24
Mississippi State was never below a 53 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 9:14 left in the 4th quarter, Arizona's chance to win went from 13 percent to 39 percent when Arizona scored a touchdown.
The score went from Mississippi State 21, Arizona 14 to Mississippi State 21, Arizona 21.
What happened next
Mississippi State's next game: L 14-41 vs LSU, Sep 16
7 days laterArizona's next game: W 31-10 vs UTEP, Sep 16
7 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.