Regular season ·
UNLV beat Vanderbilt
Records are after this game.
UNLV trailed Vanderbilt by 17 points in the 2nd quarter and won 40-37, September 16, 2023.
How the game turned
Q4 0:05 UNLV 40, Vanderbilt 37
UNLV 99% to win
Pizano 36-yd field goal, UNLV goes ahead 40-37
Big moments
- 1Q1 8:52 · UNLV 0, Vanderbilt 7UNLV's win chance fell from 37% to 22%.Hight interception return TD, Vanderbilt goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 0:03 · UNLV 20, Vanderbilt 17UNLV's win chance rose from 52% to 55%.Pizano 31-yd field goal, UNLV goes ahead 20-17
- 3Q4 2:23 · UNLV 37, Vanderbilt 30UNLV's win chance rose from 49% to 84%.Maiava 48-yd TD pass to De Jesus, UNLV goes ahead 37-30
- 4Q4 1:12 · UNLV 37, Vanderbilt 37UNLV's win chance fell from 79% to 37%.Swann 34-yd TD pass to Skinner, ties it 37-37
- 5Q4 0:05 · UNLV 40, Vanderbilt 37UNLV's win chance rose from 52% to 99%.Pizano 36-yd field goal, UNLV goes ahead 40-37
UNLV's lowest chance to win was 9 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:05 left in the 4th quarter, UNLV's chance to win went from 52 percent to 99 percent when UNLV kicked a field goal.
The score went from UNLV 37, Vanderbilt 37 to UNLV 40, Vanderbilt 37.
The play: Pizano 36-yd field goal, UNLV goes ahead 40-37.
What happened next
UNLV's next game: W 45-28 at UTEP, Sep 23
7 days laterVanderbilt's next game: L 28-45 vs Kentucky, Sep 23
7 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

