Regular season ·
New Mexico State beat Auburn
Records are after this game.
New Mexico State beat Auburn by 21 points.
How the game turned
Q4 8:42 New Mexico State 24, Auburn 7
New Mexico State 84% to win
Pavia 2-yd TD pass to Stowers, New Mexico State leads 24-7
Big moments
- 1Q1 9:34 · New Mexico State 7, Auburn 0New Mexico State's win chance rose from 7% to 11%.Pavia 9-yd TD pass to David, New Mexico State goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 0:26 · New Mexico State 10, Auburn 7New Mexico State's win chance rose from 14% to 15%.Albertson 40-yd field goal, New Mexico State goes ahead 10-7
- 3Q3 5:03 · New Mexico State 17, Auburn 7New Mexico State's win chance rose from 28% to 50%.Pavia 17-yd TD pass to Thomas, New Mexico State leads 17-7
- 4Q4 8:42 · New Mexico State 24, Auburn 7New Mexico State's win chance rose from 59% to 84%.Pavia 2-yd TD pass to Stowers, New Mexico State leads 24-7
- 5Q4 1:59 · New Mexico State 31, Auburn 10New Mexico State's win chance rose from 84% to 95%.Young 2-yd TD run, New Mexico State leads 31-10
New Mexico State's lowest chance to win was 6 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 8:42 left in the 4th quarter, New Mexico State's chance to win went from 59 percent to 84 percent when New Mexico State scored a touchdown.
The score went from New Mexico State 17, Auburn 7 to New Mexico State 24, Auburn 7.
The play: Pavia 2-yd TD pass to Stowers, New Mexico State leads 24-7.
It was New Mexico State's first win over Auburn since 1970 in our games data, after 3 straight losses in the series.
What happened next
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.