Regular season ·

Alabama beat Auburn

No. 8 Alabama11-127
Auburn6-624Final
Sat, Nov 25 · Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, Ala. · Crowd 88,043 · 62°, cloudyCBS

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 8 Alabama beat Auburn by 3 points.

How the game turned

Alabama aheadAuburn aheadBiggest swingLow: 35%

Q4 0:32 Alabama 27, Auburn 24

Alabama 89% to win

Milroe 31-yd TD pass to Bond, Alabama goes ahead 27-24

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 10:53 · Alabama 7, Auburn 0Alabama's win chance rose from 90% to 92%.Williams 2-yd TD run, Alabama goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 14:09 · Alabama 10, Auburn 7Alabama's win chance rose from 86% to 88%.Reichard 32-yd field goal, Alabama goes ahead 10-7
  3. 3Q2 2:24 · Alabama 10, Auburn 14Alabama's win chance fell from 81% to 72%.Johnson 12-yd TD run, Auburn goes ahead 14-10
  4. 4Q2 1:33 · Alabama 17, Auburn 14Alabama's win chance rose from 74% to 83%.Milroe 68-yd TD pass to Burton, Alabama goes ahead 17-14
  5. 5Q3 6:36 · Alabama 20, Auburn 21Alabama's win chance fell from 81% to 73%.Thorne 27-yd TD pass to Johnson, Auburn goes ahead 21-20
  6. 6Q4 0:32 · Alabama 27, Auburn 24Alabama's win chance rose from 62% to 89%.Milroe 31-yd TD pass to Bond, Alabama goes ahead 27-24

Alabama's lowest chance to win was 35 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:32 left in the 4th quarter, Alabama's chance to win went from 62 percent to 89 percent when Alabama scored a touchdown.

The score went from Alabama 20, Auburn 24 to Alabama 27, Auburn 24.

The play: Milroe 31-yd TD pass to Bond, Alabama goes ahead 27-24.

What happened next

  1. Alabama's next game: W 27-24 vs Georgia, Dec 2

    7 days later
  2. Auburn's next game: L 13-31 vs Maryland in the TransPerfect Music City Bowl, Dec 30

    35 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 25, 2023: Alabama 28, Auburn 14, Nov 30, 2024

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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