Regular season ·
Arizona beat Oregon State
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
Arizona beat No. 11 Oregon State by 3 points.
Oregon State was No. 11 in the AP poll before the game; Arizona was not ranked.
How the game turned
Q4 14:47 Arizona 13, Oregon State 17
Arizona 25% to win
Bolden 8-yd TD run, Oregon State goes ahead 17-13
Big moments
- 1Q1 8:28 · Arizona 0, Oregon State 7Arizona's win chance fell from 35% to 25%.Uiagalelei 22-yd TD pass to Velling, Oregon State goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 10:32 · Arizona 10, Oregon State 7Arizona's win chance rose from 39% to 45%.Fifita 7-yd TD pass to McMillan, Arizona goes ahead 10-7
- 3Q3 11:27 · Arizona 13, Oregon State 10Loop 25-yd field goal, Arizona goes ahead 13-10
- 4Q4 14:47 · Arizona 13, Oregon State 17Arizona's win chance fell from 47% to 25%.Bolden 8-yd TD run, Oregon State goes ahead 17-13
- 5Q4 8:46 · Arizona 20, Oregon State 17Arizona's win chance rose from 40% to 57%.Fifita 40-yd TD pass to Wiley, Arizona goes ahead 20-17
Arizona's lowest chance to win was 11 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 14:47 left in the 4th quarter, Oregon State's chance to win went from 53 percent to 75 percent when Oregon State scored a touchdown.
The score went from Arizona 13, Oregon State 10 to Arizona 13, Oregon State 17.
The play: Bolden 8-yd TD run, Oregon State goes ahead 17-13.
What happened next
Arizona's next game: W 27-10 vs UCLA, Nov 4
7 days laterOregon State's next game: W 26-19 at Colorado, Nov 4
7 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.