Regular season ·

UCLA beat USC

UCLA7-438
USC7-520Final
Sat, Nov 18 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum · Crowd 72,244 · 70°, cloudyABC

Records are after this game.

UCLA beat USC by 18 points.

How the game turned

UCLA aheadUSC aheadBiggest swingLow: 31%

Q2 14:01 UCLA 14, USC 7

UCLA 59% to win

Williams 74-yd TD pass to Rice, cuts it to 14-7

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 9:15 · UCLA 7, USC 0UCLA's win chance rose from 43% to 56%.Harden 1-yd TD run, UCLA goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 14:01 · UCLA 14, USC 7UCLA's win chance fell from 80% to 59%.Williams 74-yd TD pass to Rice, cuts it to 14-7
  3. 3Q3 9:29 · UCLA 28, USC 10UCLA's win chance rose from 74% to 91%.Johnson fumble return TD, UCLA leads 28-10

UCLA's lowest chance to win was 31 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 14:01 left in the 2nd quarter, USC's chance to win went from 20 percent to 41 percent when USC scored a touchdown.

The score went from UCLA 14, USC 0 to UCLA 14, USC 7.

The play: Williams 74-yd TD pass to Rice, cuts it to 14-7.

What happened next

  1. UCLA's next game: L 7-33 vs California, Nov 25

    7 days later
  2. USC's next game: W 42-28 vs Louisville in the Directv Holiday Bowl, Dec 27

    39 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 18, 2023: USC 19, UCLA 13, Nov 23, 2024

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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