Directv Holiday Bowl ·
Directv Holiday Bowl
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
USC beat No. 16 Louisville by 14 points, the Directv Holiday Bowl.
Louisville was No. 16 in the last AP poll before the bowls; USC was not ranked.
It was played at a neutral site: Petco Park, San Diego, CA.
How the game turned
Q2 8:07 USC 14, Louisville 7
USC 59% to win
Moss 29-yd TD pass to Washington, USC goes ahead 14-7
Big moments
- 1Q1 8:37 · USC 0, Louisville 7USC's win chance fell from 34% to 22%.Guerendo 2-yd TD run, Louisville goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 8:07 · USC 14, Louisville 7USC's win chance rose from 43% to 59%.Moss 29-yd TD pass to Washington, USC goes ahead 14-7
- 3Q3 4:51 · USC 35, Louisville 21USC's win chance rose from 73% to 87%.Moss 12-yd TD pass to Lane, USC leads 35-21
USC's lowest chance to win was 20 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 8:07 left in the 2nd quarter, USC's chance to win went from 43 percent to 59 percent when USC scored a touchdown.
The score went from USC 7, Louisville 7 to USC 14, Louisville 7.
The play: Moss 29-yd TD pass to Washington, USC goes ahead 14-7.
What happened next
USC finished the 2023 season 8-5.
Louisville finished the 2023 season 10-4, No. 16 in the last AP poll before the bowls.
Louisville's first game of the 2024 season: W 62-0 vs Austin Peay, Aug 31, 2024
about 8 months laterUSC's first game of the 2024 season: W 27-20 vs LSU, Sep 1, 2024
about 8 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.