Regular season ·

Louisville beat Notre Dame

No. 10 Notre Dame5-220
No. 25 Louisville6-033Final
Sat, Oct 7 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, Louisville, Ky. · Crowd 59,081 · 56°, fairABC

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 25 Louisville beat No. 10 Notre Dame by 13 points.

How the game turned

Louisville aheadNotre Dame aheadBiggest swingLow: 21%
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Q4 11:12 Louisville 24, Notre Dame 13

Louisville 88% to win

Jordan 21-yd TD run, Louisville leads 24-13

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 6:05 · Louisville 7, Notre Dame 0Louisville's win chance rose from 40% to 50%.Plummer 9-yd TD pass to Thrash, Louisville goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 6:58 · Louisville 7, Notre Dame 7Louisville's win chance fell from 50% to 37%.Hartman 36-yd TD pass to Faison, ties it 7-7
  3. 3Q3 13:18 · Louisville 7, Notre Dame 10Louisville's win chance fell from 28% to 26%.Shrader 53-yd field goal, Notre Dame goes ahead 10-7
  4. 4Q3 5:45 · Louisville 17, Notre Dame 10Louisville's win chance rose from 42% to 59%.Jordan 45-yd TD run, Louisville goes ahead 17-10
  5. 5Q4 11:12 · Louisville 24, Notre Dame 13Louisville's win chance rose from 62% to 88%.Jordan 21-yd TD run, Louisville leads 24-13

Louisville's lowest chance to win was 21 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 11:12 left in the 4th quarter, Louisville's chance to win went from 62 percent to 88 percent when Louisville scored a touchdown.

The score went from Louisville 17, Notre Dame 13 to Louisville 24, Notre Dame 13.

The play: Jordan 21-yd TD run, Louisville leads 24-13.

What happened next

  1. Notre Dame went from No. 10 to No. 21 in the next AP poll.

  2. Louisville's next game: L 21-38 at Pittsburgh, Oct 14

    7 days later

  3. Notre Dame's next game: W 48-20 vs USC, Oct 14

    7 days later

  4. The teams' next meeting after Oct 7, 2023: Notre Dame 31, Louisville 24, Sep 28, 2024

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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