Regular season ·
NC State beat Virginia
Records are after this game.
NC State beat Virginia by 3 points.
How the game turned
Q4 0:00 NC State 24, Virginia 21
NC State 100% to win
Narveson 33-yd field goal, NC State wins it 24-21
Big moments
- 1Q2 14:55 · NC State 7, Virginia 0NC State's win chance rose from 76% to 84%.Armstrong 12-yd TD pass to Concepcion, NC State goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 0:28 · NC State 14, Virginia 7NC State's win chance rose from 74% to 84%.Mimms 1-yd TD run, NC State goes ahead 14-7
- 3Q3 0:11 · NC State 21, Virginia 13NC State's win chance rose from 71% to 90%.Armstrong 48-yd TD pass to Concepcion, NC State leads 21-13
- 4Q4 0:36 · NC State 21, Virginia 21NC State's win chance fell from 92% to 84%.Colandrea 3-yd TD pass to Washington, two-point try good, ties it 21-21
- 5Q4 0:00 · NC State 24, Virginia 21NC State's win chance rose from 80% to 100%.Narveson 33-yd field goal, NC State wins it 24-21
NC State was never below a 63 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, NC State's chance to win went from 80 percent to 99 percent when NC State kicked a field goal.
The score went from NC State 21, Virginia 21 to NC State 24, Virginia 21.
The play: Narveson 33-yd field goal, NC State wins it 24-21.
What happened next
NC State's next game: L 10-13 vs Louisville, Sep 29
7 days laterVirginia's next game: L 24-27 at Boston College, Sep 30
8 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Sep 22, 2023: NC State 35, Virginia 31, Sep 6, 2025
about 23 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.