Regular season ·
NC State beat Marshall
Records are after this game.
NC State beat Marshall by 7 points.
How the game turned
Q3 9:03 NC State 28, Marshall 24
NC State 73% to win
Allen 37-yd TD run, NC State goes ahead 28-24
Big moments
- 1Q1 11:14 · NC State 0, Marshall 7NC State's win chance fell from 56% to 55%.Fancher 7-yd TD run, Marshall goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q1 2:57 · NC State 7, Marshall 14NC State's win chance fell from 68% to 48%.Moten interception return TD, Marshall goes ahead 14-7
- 3Q2 9:45 · NC State 21, Marshall 14NC State's win chance rose from 60% to 78%.Morris 39-yd TD pass to Pennix, NC State goes ahead 21-14
- 4Q2 0:31 · NC State 21, Marshall 24NC State's win chance fell from 67% to 56%.Fancher 4-yd TD run, Marshall goes ahead 24-21
- 5Q3 9:03 · NC State 28, Marshall 24NC State's win chance rose from 53% to 73%.Allen 37-yd TD run, NC State goes ahead 28-24
- 6Q3 7:31 · NC State 28, Marshall 31NC State's win chance fell from 67% to 56%.Fancher 28-yd TD pass to Harrison, Marshall goes ahead 31-28
- 7Q3 6:43 · NC State 35, Marshall 31NC State's win chance rose from 56% to 74%.Morris 62-yd TD pass to Pennix, NC State goes ahead 35-31
NC State's lowest chance to win was 31 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 9:03 left in the 3rd quarter, NC State's chance to win went from 53 percent to 73 percent when NC State scored a touchdown.
The score went from NC State 21, Marshall 24 to NC State 28, Marshall 24.
The play: Allen 37-yd TD run, NC State goes ahead 28-24.
What happened next
NC State's next game: L 3-24 at Duke, Oct 14
7 days laterMarshall's next game: L 24-41 at Georgia State, Oct 14
7 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.