Regular season ·

Kansas State beat Kansas

No. 23 Kansas State8-331
Kansas7-427Final
Sat, Nov 18 · Memorial Stadium, Lawrence, Kan. · Crowd 47,233 · 44°, clearFS1

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 23 Kansas State beat Kansas by 4 points.

How the game turned

Kansas State aheadKansas aheadBiggest swingLow: 18%

Q4 10:22 Kansas State 31, Kansas 27

Kansas State 81% to win

Howard 15-yd TD run, Kansas State goes ahead 31-27

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 13:44 · Kansas State 7, Kansas 0Kansas State's win chance rose from 80% to 84%.Howard 11-yd TD pass to Sinnott, Kansas State goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 10:55 · Kansas State 7, Kansas 13Kansas State's win chance fell from 67% to 57%.Neal 9-yd TD run, blocked, Kansas goes ahead 13-7
  3. 3Q2 0:26 · Kansas State 16, Kansas 20Kansas State's win chance fell from 73% to 55%.Ballard 5-yd TD pass to Arnold, Kansas goes ahead 20-16
  4. 4Q3 6:35 · Kansas State 24, Kansas 27Kansas State's win chance rose from 35% to 45%.Giddens 1-yd TD run, two-point try good, cuts it to 27-24
  5. 5Q4 10:22 · Kansas State 31, Kansas 27Kansas State's win chance rose from 48% to 81%.Howard 15-yd TD run, Kansas State goes ahead 31-27

Kansas State's lowest chance to win was 18 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 10:22 left in the 4th quarter, Kansas State's chance to win went from 48 percent to 81 percent when Kansas State scored a touchdown.

The score went from Kansas State 24, Kansas 27 to Kansas State 31, Kansas 27.

The play: Howard 15-yd TD run, Kansas State goes ahead 31-27.

What happened next

  1. Kansas State's next game: L 35-42 vs Iowa State, Nov 25

    7 days later
  2. Kansas's next game: W 49-16 at Cincinnati, Nov 25

    7 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 18, 2023: Kansas State 29, Kansas 27, Oct 26, 2024

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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