Regular season ·

Tulsa beat East Carolina

Tulsa4-829
East Carolina2-1027Final
Sat, Nov 25 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, Greenville, N.C. · Crowd 29,567 · 50°, fairESPN+

Records are after this game.

Tulsa beat East Carolina by 2 points.

How the game turned

Tulsa aheadEast Carolina aheadBiggest swingLow: 18%
1234567

Q4 0:01 Tulsa 29, East Carolina 27

Tulsa 100% to win

Meyer 37-yd field goal, Tulsa wins it 29-27

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 13:34 · Tulsa 6, East Carolina 0Tulsa's win chance rose from 50% to 54%.Francis 31-yd TD pass to Benjamin, Tulsa goes ahead 6-0
  2. 2Q1 10:20 · Tulsa 6, East Carolina 7Tulsa's win chance fell from 45% to 40%.Flinn 4-yd TD pass to Johnson, East Carolina goes ahead 7-6
  3. 3Q2 12:49 · Tulsa 20, East Carolina 14Tulsa's win chance rose from 42% to 59%.Jackson 1-yd TD run, Tulsa goes ahead 20-14
  4. 4Q2 8:27 · Tulsa 20, East Carolina 21Tulsa's win chance fell from 50% to 44%.Flinn 32-yd TD pass to Hatfield, East Carolina goes ahead 21-20
  5. 5Q3 3:15 · Tulsa 26, East Carolina 24Tulsa's win chance rose from 46% to 52%.Meyer 26-yd field goal, Tulsa goes ahead 26-24
  6. 6Q4 12:12 · Tulsa 26, East Carolina 27Tulsa's win chance fell from 49% to 45%.Conrad 26-yd field goal, East Carolina goes ahead 27-26
  7. 7Q4 0:01 · Tulsa 29, East Carolina 27Tulsa's win chance rose from 58% to 100%.Meyer 37-yd field goal, Tulsa wins it 29-27

Tulsa's lowest chance to win was 18 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:01 left in the 4th quarter, Tulsa's chance to win went from 58 percent to 99 percent when Tulsa kicked a field goal.

The score went from Tulsa 26, East Carolina 27 to Tulsa 29, East Carolina 27.

The play: Meyer 37-yd field goal, Tulsa wins it 29-27.

What happened next

  1. Tulsa finished the 2023 season 4-8.

  2. East Carolina finished the 2023 season 2-10.

  3. Tulsa's first game of the 2024 season: W 62-28 vs Northwestern State, Aug 29, 2024

    about 9 months later

  4. East Carolina's first game of the 2024 season: W 42-3 vs Norfolk State, Aug 31, 2024

    about 9 months later

  5. The teams' next meeting after Nov 25, 2023: East Carolina 38, Tulsa 31, Nov 14, 2024

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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