Regular season ·

Memphis beat North Texas

Memphis6-245
North Texas3-542Final
Sat, Oct 28 · DATCU Stadium, Denton, Texas · Crowd 18,062 · 57°, light rainESPN+

Records are after this game.

Memphis beat North Texas by 3 points.

How the game turned

Memphis aheadNorth Texas aheadBiggest swing

Q4 0:47 Memphis 38, North Texas 42

Memphis 48% to win

Rogers 6-yd TD pass to Maclin, North Texas goes ahead 42-38

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 14:14 · Memphis 7, North Texas 0Memphis's win chance rose from 72% to 83%.Watson 64-yd TD run, Memphis goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 4:57 · Memphis 24, North Texas 7Memphis's win chance rose from 83% to 94%.Thomas 1-yd TD run, Memphis leads 24-7
  3. 3Q4 0:47 · Memphis 38, North Texas 42Memphis's win chance fell from 72% to 48%.Rogers 6-yd TD pass to Maclin, North Texas goes ahead 42-38
  4. 4Q4 0:12 · Memphis 45, North Texas 42Memphis's win chance rose from 59% to 78%.Henigan 36-yd TD pass to Scates, Memphis goes ahead 45-42

Memphis's lowest chance to win was 48 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:47 left in the 4th quarter, North Texas's chance to win went from 29 percent to 52 percent when North Texas scored a touchdown.

The score went from Memphis 38, North Texas 35 to Memphis 38, North Texas 42.

The play: Rogers 6-yd TD pass to Maclin, North Texas goes ahead 42-38.

What happened next

  1. Memphis's next game: W 59-50 vs South Florida, Nov 4

    7 days later
  2. North Texas's next game: L 29-37 vs UTSA, Nov 4

    7 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 28, 2023: Memphis 52, North Texas 44, Oct 19, 2024

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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