Regular season ·

Central Michigan beat South Alabama

Central Michigan2-234
South Alabama2-230Final
Sat, Sep 23 · Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, Ala. · Crowd 18,369 · 92°, fairESPN+

Records are after this game.

Central Michigan beat South Alabama by 4 points.

How the game turned

Central Michigan aheadSouth Alabama aheadLow: 4%
12345

Q4 0:13 Central Michigan 34, South Alabama 30

Central Michigan 70% to win

Bauer 4-yd TD run, Central Michigan goes ahead 34-30

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 9:02 · Central Michigan 0, South Alabama 7Central Michigan's win chance fell from 10% to 8%.Webb 3-yd TD run, South Alabama goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q3 8:31 · Central Michigan 20, South Alabama 14Central Michigan's win chance rose from 32% to 46%.Bauer 1-yd TD run, Central Michigan goes ahead 20-14
  3. 3Q4 14:47 · Central Michigan 27, South Alabama 17Central Michigan's win chance rose from 38% to 78%.Bauer 70-yd TD pass to Prewitt, Central Michigan leads 27-17
  4. 4Q4 2:42 · Central Michigan 27, South Alabama 30Central Michigan's win chance fell from 44% to 26%.Webb 1-yd TD run, South Alabama goes ahead 30-27
  5. 5Q4 0:13 · Central Michigan 34, South Alabama 30Central Michigan's win chance rose from 39% to 70%.Bauer 4-yd TD run, Central Michigan goes ahead 34-30

Central Michigan's lowest chance to win was 4 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Central Michigan took the lead for good with 0:13 left in the 4th quarter, Central Michigan 34, South Alabama 30.

What happened next

  1. Central Michigan's next game: W 26-23 vs Eastern Michigan, Sep 30

    7 days later

  2. South Alabama's next game: L 23-31 at James Madison, Sep 30

    7 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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