Regular season ·

Old Dominion beat Georgia State

Georgia State6-624
Old Dominion6-625Final
Sat, Nov 25 · S.B. Ballard Stadium, Norfolk, Va. · Crowd 15,717 · 46°, clearESPN+

Records are after this game.

Old Dominion trailed Georgia State by 21 points in the 2nd quarter and won 25-24, November 25, 2023.

How the game turned

Old Dominion aheadGeorgia State aheadBiggest swingLow: 2%

Q4 0:00 Old Dominion 25, Georgia State 24

Old Dominion 100% to win

Wilson 3-yd TD run, Old Dominion wins it 25-24

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 9:16 · Old Dominion 0, Georgia State 7Old Dominion's win chance fell from 46% to 37%.Grainger 16-yd TD run, Georgia State goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 11:32 · Old Dominion 0, Georgia State 14Old Dominion's win chance fell from 33% to 20%.Grainger 29-yd TD pass to Green, Georgia State leads 14-0
  3. 3Q4 14:49 · Old Dominion 14, Georgia State 21Old Dominion's win chance rose from 7% to 19%.Sanni 67-yd TD run, cuts it to 21-14
  4. 4Q4 0:00 · Old Dominion 25, Georgia State 24Old Dominion's win chance rose from 36% to 100%.Wilson 3-yd TD run, Old Dominion wins it 25-24

Old Dominion's lowest chance to win was 2 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Old Dominion's chance to win went from 36 percent to 99 percent when Old Dominion scored a touchdown.

The score went from Old Dominion 19, Georgia State 24 to Old Dominion 25, Georgia State 24.

The play: Wilson 3-yd TD run, Old Dominion wins it 25-24.

What happened next

  1. Old Dominion's next game: L 35-38 vs Western Kentucky in the Famous Toastery Bowl, Dec 18

    23 days later
  2. Georgia State's next game: W 45-22 vs Utah State in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl, Dec 23

    28 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 25, 2023: Old Dominion 21, Georgia State 14, Oct 12, 2024

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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