Regular season ·

Colorado State beat Boise State

Boise State3-430
Colorado State3-331Final
Sat, Oct 14 · Canvas Stadium, Fort Collins, Colo. · Crowd 34,901 · 45°, clearFS1

Records are after this game.

Colorado State trailed Boise State by 20 points in the 4th quarter and won 31-30, October 14, 2023.

How the game turned

Colorado State aheadBoise State aheadBiggest swingLow: 1%

Q4 0:00 Colorado State 31, Boise State 30

Colorado State 100% to win

Fowler-Nicolosi 33-yd TD pass to Holker, Colorado State wins it 31-30

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 9:03 · Colorado State 0, Boise State 7Colorado State's win chance fell from 23% to 17%.Jeanty 3-yd TD run, Boise State goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q4 0:00 · Colorado State 31, Boise State 30Colorado State's win chance rose from 18% to 100%.Fowler-Nicolosi 33-yd TD pass to Holker, Colorado State wins it 31-30

Colorado State's lowest chance to win was 1 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Colorado State's chance to win went from 18 percent to 99 percent when Colorado State scored a touchdown.

The score went from Colorado State 24, Boise State 30 to Colorado State 31, Boise State 30.

The play: Fowler-Nicolosi 33-yd TD pass to Holker, Colorado State wins it 31-30.

It was Colorado State's first win over Boise State since 1970 in our games data, after 12 straight losses in the series.

What happened next

  1. Colorado State's next game: L 23-25 at UNLV, Oct 21

    7 days later
  2. Boise State's next game: W 32-7 vs Wyoming, Oct 28

    14 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 14, 2023: Boise State 49, Colorado State 21, Nov 22, 2025

    about 2 years later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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