Regular season ·
New Mexico beat Fresno State
Records are after this game.
New Mexico beat Fresno State by 8 points.
How the game turned
Q4 8:57 New Mexico 25, Fresno State 14
New Mexico 78% to win
Dampier 33-yd TD pass to Medford, New Mexico leads 25-14
Big moments
- 1Q1 9:53 · New Mexico 3, Fresno State 0New Mexico's win chance rose from 10% to 11%.Drzewiecki 38-yd field goal, New Mexico goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q1 6:05 · New Mexico 3, Fresno State 7New Mexico's win chance fell from 8% to 7%.Fife 1-yd TD run, Fresno State goes ahead 7-3
- 3Q3 2:30 · New Mexico 18, Fresno State 14New Mexico's win chance rose from 19% to 28%.Croskey-Merritt 10-yd TD run, two-point try fails, New Mexico goes ahead 18-14
- 4Q4 8:57 · New Mexico 25, Fresno State 14New Mexico's win chance rose from 43% to 78%.Dampier 33-yd TD pass to Medford, New Mexico leads 25-14
New Mexico's lowest chance to win was 2 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 8:57 left in the 4th quarter, New Mexico's chance to win went from 43 percent to 78 percent when New Mexico scored a touchdown.
The score went from New Mexico 18, Fresno State 14 to New Mexico 25, Fresno State 14.
The play: Dampier 33-yd TD pass to Medford, New Mexico leads 25-14.
What happened next
New Mexico's next game: L 41-44 vs Utah State, Nov 24
6 days laterFresno State's next game: L 18-33 at San Diego State, Nov 25
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 18, 2023: Fresno State 38, New Mexico 21, Sep 21, 2024
about 10 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.