American Athletic Championship ·

American Athletic Championship

American Athletic Championship
No. 25 SMU11-226
No. 17 Tulane11-214Final
Sat, Dec 2 · Yulman Stadium, New Orleans, La. · Crowd 25,206 · 71°, cloudyABC

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 25 SMU beat No. 17 Tulane by 12 points, the American Athletic Championship.

How the game turned

SMU aheadTulane aheadBiggest swing
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Q1 14:50 SMU 0, Tulane 7

SMU 29% to win

Pratt 1-yd TD run, Tulane goes ahead 7-0

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 14:50 · SMU 0, Tulane 7SMU's win chance fell from 48% to 29%.Pratt 1-yd TD run, Tulane goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 1:32 · SMU 14, Tulane 7SMU's win chance rose from 56% to 64%.Jennings 17-yd TD pass to Smith, SMU goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q3 8:46 · SMU 14, Tulane 14SMU's win chance fell from 70% to 51%.Pratt 42-yd TD pass to Brown, ties it 14-14
  4. 4Q3 5:35 · SMU 17, Tulane 14SMU's win chance rose from 55% to 60%.Rogers 48-yd field goal, SMU goes ahead 17-14
  5. 5Q4 8:58 · SMU 23, Tulane 14SMU's win chance rose from 75% to 90%.Rogers 32-yd field goal, SMU leads 23-14

SMU's lowest chance to win was 23 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 14:50 left in the 1st quarter, Tulane's chance to win went from 52 percent to 71 percent when Tulane scored a touchdown.

The score went from SMU 0, Tulane 0 to SMU 0, Tulane 7.

The play: Pratt 1-yd TD run, Tulane goes ahead 7-0.

What happened next

  1. Tulane's next game: L 20-41 vs Virginia Tech in the Military Bowl, Dec 27

    25 days later

  2. SMU's next game: L 14-23 vs Boston College in the Wasabi Fenway Bowl, Dec 28

    26 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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