ACC Championship ·

ACC Championship

ACC Championship
No. 15 Louisville10-36
No. 4 Florida State13-016Final
Sat, Dec 2 · Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, N.C. (neutral site) · Crowd 62,314 · 64°, overcastABC

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 4 Florida State beat No. 15 Louisville by 10 points, the ACC Championship.

It was played at a neutral site: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC.

How the game turned

Florida State aheadLouisville aheadBiggest swingLow: 32%
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Q3 6:20 Florida State 10, Louisville 3

Florida State 70% to win

Toafili 2-yd TD run, Florida State goes ahead 10-3

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 (no clock) · Florida State 0, Louisville 0Florida State's win chance rose from 40% to 51%.Plummer incomplete to Lifson, turnover on downs
  2. 2Q2 10:32 · Florida State 3, Louisville 0Florida State's win chance rose from 46% to 47%.Fitzgerald 45-yd field goal, Florida State goes ahead 3-0
  3. 3Q3 6:20 · Florida State 10, Louisville 3Florida State's win chance rose from 47% to 70%.Toafili 2-yd TD run, Florida State goes ahead 10-3
  4. 4Q4 (no clock) · Florida State 10, Louisville 6Florida State's win chance rose from 41% to 57%.Mastromanno run for a 11-yd loss, turnover on downs
  5. 5Q4 3:13 · Florida State 13, Louisville 6Florida State's win chance rose from 68% to 86%.Fitzgerald 33-yd field goal, Florida State leads 13-6

Florida State's lowest chance to win was 32 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 6:20 left in the 3rd quarter, Florida State's chance to win went from 47 percent to 70 percent when Florida State scored a touchdown.

The score went from Florida State 3, Louisville 3 to Florida State 10, Louisville 3.

The play: Toafili 2-yd TD run, Florida State goes ahead 10-3.

What happened next

  1. Louisville's next game: L 28-42 vs USC in the Directv Holiday Bowl, Dec 27

    25 days later

  2. Florida State's next game: L 3-63 vs Georgia in the Capital One Orange Bowl, Dec 30

    28 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Dec 2, 2023: Louisville 44, Florida State 20, Oct 9, 2026

    about 3 years later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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